Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.773699 2.962259 3.163602 3.395700 3.657275 3.944630 4.286517
2025-12-21 2.489111 2.746614 3.037317 3.393820 3.824984 4.337455 5.005207
2025-12-28 2.306517 2.597127 2.936930 3.370912 3.921790 4.614766 5.582749
2026-01-04 2.129716 2.431346 2.792689 3.267651 3.892227 4.712408 5.923055
2026-01-11 2.028474 2.345477 2.733935 3.258740 3.973122 4.952793 6.485205
2026-01-18 1.973255 2.310263 2.732577 3.319124 4.146586 5.335075 7.318409
2026-01-25 2.070223 2.472205 2.994363 3.753453 4.891673 6.667442 10.020971
2026-02-01 1.941104 2.330316 2.840819 3.592380 4.738995 6.572013 10.170047
2026-02-08 1.817830 2.190222 2.681924 3.412134 4.539713 6.373680 10.075820
2026-02-15 1.751405 2.123075 2.619377 3.367445 4.546940 6.524344 10.722911
2026-02-22 1.678806 2.044193 2.536174 3.285979 4.486964 6.547835 11.102703
2026-03-01 1.608623 1.965783 2.449916 3.194417 4.402386 6.515800 11.349581
2026-03-08 1.530209 1.878842 2.355624 3.097657 4.322748 6.523776 11.807125
2026-03-15 1.484985 1.836632 2.324158 3.097230 4.409247 6.870283 13.283284
2026-03-22 1.438645 1.790169 2.283154 3.077417 4.457971 7.148938 14.724947
2026-03-29 1.377080 1.719443 2.202716 2.988437 4.373149 7.134189 15.287813
2026-04-05 1.341932 1.684782 2.173830 2.980744 4.435460 7.448652 17.125611
2026-04-12 1.324746 1.674942 2.181243 3.032827 4.615053 8.067784 20.614234
2026-04-19 1.383675 1.778339 2.367311 3.404880 5.483447 10.696194 38.784587
2026-04-26 1.323137 1.701870 2.267934 3.267421 5.277332 10.355320 38.391967
2026-05-03 1.261803 1.622623 2.161682 3.112878 5.023635 9.841076 36.256458
2026-05-10 1.229015 1.585339 2.120898 3.074441 5.019065 10.069588 40.725473
2026-05-17 1.191177 1.539303 2.064391 3.004250 4.938238 10.051959 43.178911